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Top stories

Egerton, Baker Brothers Lead Q2 Hedge-Fund Portfolio Shifts

Egerton, Baker Brothers Lead Q2 Hedge-Fund Portfolio Shifts

Authors

3

5 months ago

CDC Shooter Scouted Atlanta Campus Two Days Before Deadly Attack

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Health

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

60.59%chance

10232648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12399

8065

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41%chance

19028884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

834

Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031?

Jul 16, 2:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

73%chance

848676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1645

608

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9916

2845

Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027

Jan 19, 12:56 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

39.18%chance

111794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1246

803

[ACX 2026] Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.99%chance

141707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5430

4231

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Apr 21, 2:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.2%chance

351386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

936

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 2:45 PMDec 5, 4:59 AM

74.3%chance

141260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1700

588

Is it better for battery health to charge new M1 Macbooks via Magsafe rather than USB-C?

May 19, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

211238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1353

Does 2000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?

Oct 21, 5:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78.53%chance

14792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

952

Does 1000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?

Oct 21, 5:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70.95%chance

14474

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

941

General health benefits from cold showers, accepted by 2040?

Apr 14, 11:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.27%chance

15274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

994

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