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Prediction markets for Healthcare

There will be no restrictions on Chinese citizens ability to access education or healthcare in any city with more than 10 million people based on rural Hukou by the end of 2025

Sep 8, 12:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.84%chance

161318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1868

771

When this market closes, will I believe that healthcare should be free at the point of use? (This market has a 10% chance of closing each year)

Nov 16, 2:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.37%chance

21964

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1669

1249

By 2028, AI will be the primary method for diagnosing diseases in healthcare.

Jan 22, 7:52 AMDec 28, 12:59 PM

9.86%chance

15898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1478

908

Will the UK move to what I consider to be ~a german/dutch healthcare system by 2035?

Dec 30, 12:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.35%chance

14710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

972

Will Trump threaten to cut healthcare providers' federal funding over mental health medication?

Feb 16, 6:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

4.53%chance

10534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

459

22

Which emerging technology will have the greatest impact on healthcare in the next five years:

Dec 10, 6:25 AMDec 10, 6:59 AM

19428

OptionProbability

Other

AI diagnostics

Gene editing

59

29

12

When will the United States get universal healthcare?

Jan 4, 12:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11418

OptionProbability

Never

In 10 years

In 25 years

In 50 years

In 100 years

40

25

23

6

6

What is most likely to occur with healthcare as a system by 2050?

Apr 3, 3:23 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

8343

OptionProbability

Nothing at all changes

All preventative care is free of charge

All health insurance is completely abolished

All healthcare is entirely funded by an anonymous benefactor

All healthcare is entirely funded by taxes

73

14

5

4

4

Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?

May 13, 6:05 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

26.28%chance

787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

350

Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Nov 27, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

93

Will the US make healthcare insurance coverage not specific to insurance providers by 2050?

Mar 14, 12:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

131

Will healthcare and telemedicine be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?

May 8, 6:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.43%chance

34

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

68

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