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Prediction markets for Healthy Living

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Apr 13, 5:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.26%chance

4423778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

936

Will I live to be 100 years old?

Mar 19, 5:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.12%chance

5410057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

939

Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?

Jan 14, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.25%chance

339086

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6211

785

Will I live to at least 1,000 years old?

Sep 17, 7:58 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9.88%chance

457272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1911

787

Will I live to be 125 years old?

Apr 13, 5:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.94%chance

426231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

709

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9916

2845

Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?

Jan 17, 9:32 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

40.26%chance

422048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1444

369

When will Trump depart this Earth and go to meet his maker?

Dec 20, 4:11 PMDec 28, 6:59 AM

161397

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2032

2026

2031

2025

2029

2030

2033

2034

2043

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052 or later

Other

2023

2024

7

7

7

6

6

5

4

4

4

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

How old will I be when I die?

Mar 18, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.97%chance

27746

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1021

822

By 2080, will a breed of dog exist that can survive solely off of cabbage?

Aug 30, 4:24 PMJun 7, 5:59 AM

42.44%chance

17274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

958

Will I be diagnosed with Alzheimer's diseases before I die?

Jan 12, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.72%chance

690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

127

Will I be diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease before I die?

Jan 12, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.78%chance

487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

101

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