Hedge Funds News

Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

Jun 4, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2028040

OptionProbability

Other

The Short, Swift Time of Gods on Earth

The Book of Abraham

Siddhartha (1922) by Herman Hesse

The Lever of Riches

Orality and Literacy by Walter Ong

We Present Television

The Sovereign Child

Capitalist Realism

The Tale of Genji

planecrash – E.S. Yudwkosky

The Life-Changing Magic of Tidying Up

The Cambridge Introduction to Jacques Lacan

Breakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action

World War Z

Lee Kuan Yew’s Memoirs

The Affluent Society by John Kenneth Galbraith

Invisible Cities / Life: A User's Manual

Thomas Urquhart's Translation of Rabelais

We've Had a Hundred Years of Psychotherapy and the World's Getting Worse

Leviathan

How to Prevent Coups d’État

Stabilizing an Unstable Economy

The Invention of Science: A New History of the Scientific Revolution

The Rule of Law

Timefulness

The Knowledge Machine

The Inhabited Island

The Ghost In My Brain

A Secular Age

Scenebux: A Novel

Pharmaceutical Freedom: Why Patients Have a Right to Self-Medicate

Bellum Catilinae -- The Catiline Conspiracy

Coriolanus

Fear and Trembling

1984 by George Orwell

Mother of Learning

"Mistletoe and Memorandums" by Claude

The Northern Caves

Dictator Book Club: Yoweri Museveni’s Sowing The Mustard Seed

The End of History and the Last Man

The Bible

The Last Temptation of Christ

Aesopian Language in Russian Literature

More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite, by Sebastian Mallaby

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.03%chance

1927975

OptionVotes

YES

31877

3892

Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

Feb 20, 11:48 PMJan 20, 11:47 PM

72.03%chance

293110

OptionVotes

YES

1605

623

Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

Mar 23, 12:27 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

7.54%chance

122543

OptionVotes

YES

350

AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions

May 1, 12:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.51%chance

231278

OptionVotes

YES

1068

955

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

490

OptionProbability

Other

Millennium

Citadel

Point72

Balyasny

None

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

Feb 10, 2:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will there be a Python implementation of the Open Game Engine (a Compositional Game Theory Model Checker) before 2028?

Apr 13, 12:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Hedge Funds News

Prediction markets for Hedge Funds

Prediction markets for Hedge Funds

Prediction markets for Hedge Funds

Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

Will there be a Python implementation of the Open Game Engine (a Compositional Game Theory Model Checker) before 2028?

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