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Prediction markets for High Courts

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

75.22%chance

9725458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1744

575

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

23.44%chance

88041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15910

7208

[ACX 2026] How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

348038

OptionProbability

Mixed ruling

Tariffs unlawful

Tariffs lawful

Other ruling

No 2026 ruling

43

29

24

2

2

Post-mortem revelations: will damning new evidence be revealed in the OJ Simpson case?

Apr 11, 3:36 PMApr 11, 6:59 AM

3.8%chance

174480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5413

450

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

932

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.54%chance

412843

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

532

Kurdistan will become a state in 2029

Jan 18, 3:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.18%chance

11941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

46

What wins in the 2026 Italian constitutional referendum?

Dec 23, 9:57 PMMar 24, 11:59 PM

52.04%chance

8250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?

Nov 24, 6:11 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

4126

OptionProbability

0-4 deputies

5-8 deputies

9-12 deputies

13+ deputies

72

15

8

6

Trump vs the media: Which lawsuits will succeed?

Dec 27, 1:11 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

5122

OptionProbability

CBS case, over 60 Minutes Harris interview

Trump defamation suit against NYT (filed September 2025)

Des Moines Register case, over Ann Selzer poll

Simon & Schuster case, over Bob Woodward book

100

50

11

0

When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?

Mar 18, 11:06 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

7119

OptionProbability

Until EOY 2027

Until EOY 2028

Until EOY 2026

Until EOY 2025

68

66

64

0

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