High Courts News

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.96%chance

3914944

OptionVotes

YES

18148

6181

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

15.93%chance

1513700

OptionVotes

YES

21180

5941

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.31%chance

545947

OptionVotes

YES

1075

734

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

YES

1117

894

Will Worst Boyfriend Ever be convicted of a felony before 2030?

Oct 6, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.27%chance

52702

OptionVotes

YES

12700

7874

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

10.1%chance

131703

OptionVotes

YES

1764

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.89%chance

91560

OptionVotes

YES

1785

560

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Sep 21, 6:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

5630

OptionVotes

YES

1630

769

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting

May 9, 1:20 AMJan 1, 2:19 AM

79.63%chance

5465

OptionVotes

YES

1435

857

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

YES

1363

876

How many count of indictment will Jared Leto face 2026?

Jul 29, 7:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

223

OptionProbability

4 - 6

7 - 9

10 - 12

13 - 15

1 - 3

Above 15

Will any government let AI issue binding incarceration decisions without human final approval by the end of 2030?

Nov 7, 2:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Yes if a credible public report (government announcement, court records, reputable news with primary sources, or official legislation/regulation) confirms that an AI system: • Issued a final order, sentence, detention decision, or equival

No otherwise. Pilot programs, recommendations only, human-final systems, or systems used solely for research/prediction do not qualify. • Applies to any sovereign national or subnational (state/provincial) court or justice system. Private

High Courts News

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Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Will Worst Boyfriend Ever be convicted of a felony before 2030?

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

How many count of indictment will Jared Leto face 2026?

Will any government let AI issue binding incarceration decisions without human final approval by the end of 2030?

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