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Will Elon Musk back out of fight against Mark Zuckerberg because his mom told him not to do it?

Jun 23, 2:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.98%chance

398737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2175

739

Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?

Oct 2, 4:20 PMOct 2, 4:19 PM

78.44%chance

245740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1907

524

Will Eric Adams face prison time from the current charges brought against him?

Sep 26, 4:50 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.57%chance

184610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3772

265

Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?

Jul 4, 4:35 AMNov 8, 5:59 AM

8%chance

264493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

879

Yang's 2025 predictions: Will at least one member of Congress or the Senate declare him or herself to be an Independent?

Dec 31, 2:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.46%chance

273416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2926

342

During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term

Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

38.67%chance

181762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

794

Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.66%chance

231395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

943

If Trump is sentenced to jail time will the Secret Service go with him?

Aug 19, 12:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.35%chance

28923

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1689

1092

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

42.3%chance

12623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

876

If Trump appeals the verdict ordering him to pay $83.3 million in defamation damages to E.Jean Carroll, will he win?

Jan 27, 12:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.78%chance

15521

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

597

Contingent on Trump winning the election, will any of the DAs or judges currently trying him go to jail?

Feb 23, 1:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

17.99%chance

10222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

957

Musk alive and humans have been to mars or him not alive and they haven't, due mid 2045

Aug 23, 8:23 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

50.21%chance

245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

996

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