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Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?

Oct 2, 4:20 PMOct 2, 4:19 PM

77.79%chance

255750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1872

534

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?

Feb 15, 6:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

23.93%chance

444849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1783

561

Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?

Jul 4, 4:35 AMNov 8, 5:59 AM

7.31%chance

274643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1860

866

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.1%chance

182577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1933

517

During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term

Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

38.67%chance

181762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

794

Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.66%chance

231395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

943

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

42.3%chance

12623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

876

Contingent on Trump winning the election, will any of the DAs or judges currently trying him go to jail?

Feb 23, 1:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

17.99%chance

10222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

957

Musk alive and humans have been to mars or him not alive and they haven't, due mid 2045

Aug 23, 8:23 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

54.94%chance

3145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

906

Will samo burja advise the new JD Vance administration, either with him as VP or president?

Jul 19, 11:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57%chance

4133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!!) OR Isaak Freeman get a mathematical theorem named after him by EOY2050?

Oct 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.43%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

Will the definitive biography of Jose Luis Ricon contain at least one manifold question on him

Sep 18, 6:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.29%chance

221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

83

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