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Hims News

Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?

Oct 2, 4:20 PMOct 2, 4:19 PM

78.44%chance

245740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1907

524

Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?

Jul 4, 4:35 AMNov 8, 5:59 AM

8%chance

264493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

879

During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term

Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

38.67%chance

181762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

794

Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.66%chance

231395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

943

Will Drake win at least $1 in damages from UMG for calling him a pedophile by the end of 2026?

Jan 15, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.8%chance

91044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

A French President will trigger Article 16 of the French Constitution (giving him exceptional powers) before 2030.

Jul 6, 12:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.8%chance

11831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

104

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

42.3%chance

12623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

876

Contingent on Trump winning the election, will any of the DAs or judges currently trying him go to jail?

Feb 23, 1:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

17.99%chance

10222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

957

Musk alive and humans have been to mars or him not alive and they haven't, due mid 2045

Aug 23, 8:23 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

54.94%chance

3145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

906

Will Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!) attract a velcro bird on him by EOY2045?

Jun 6, 4:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Jason Boyce is running for HD 45 in Oregon. Will any press member confuse him with Representative Boice from HD 1?

Jul 13, 11:36 PMNov 4, 12:30 AM

49.19%chance

439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will the definitive biography of Jose Luis Ricon contain at least one manifold question on him

Sep 18, 6:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.29%chance

221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

83

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