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Prediction markets for HM Treasury

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the Energy Profits Levy be raised or extended?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

59.5%chance

144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

52

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will any working-age benefit be cut or uprated below CPI?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

40.5%chance

124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

45

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will a £2 bus fare cap be funded beyond the end of 2027?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

40%chance

121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

59

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will any main capital gains tax rate rise?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

49.26%chance

117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

82

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will taxes on banks be increased?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

45.38%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will business rates relief be widened beyond pubs and music venues?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

45.38%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the CGT uplift on death be abolished or restricted?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

20.24%chance

19

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

58

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the pension tax-free lump sum be cut or capped lower?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

20.24%chance

19

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

58

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will NICs be extended to rental, investment or pension income?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

18%chance

18

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

37

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will employer NICs be cut or the secondary threshold raised?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

22%chance

17

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

67

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will it freeze fuel duty or cancel a scheduled rise?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

65%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the 'mansion tax' threshold be set below £2 million?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

35%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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