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Prediction markets for HOA

Will Jaime Maussan's 'nonhuman beings' (2023) still be considered an 'elaborate hoax' by Wikipedia in 2030?

Dec 20, 3:28 AMJan 2, 3:59 AM

94.17%chance

1814147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1736

912

Will there be an AI "lost manuscript" hoax by the end of 2025?

Jul 7, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.51%chance

211754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2221

601

Will there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it?

Apr 10, 12:18 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

58.66%chance

251147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

864

Grand Jury Indictments of Obama Administration Officials for 2016 Russia Hoax Conspiracy This Year

Aug 13, 1:21 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

2.91%chance

8755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

577

17

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

Oct 23, 9:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3236

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

63

57

51

47

41

27

Should most absolute/categorical rules be replaced with pigouvian taxes?

Apr 16, 7:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82%chance

361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

43

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