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Prediction markets for Home Office
What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Jan 18, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
204248
OptionProbability
10
5
4
4
4
3
3
Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?
Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.31%chance
173004
OptionVotes
1921
520
will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?
Feb 11, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.5%chance
132453
OptionVotes
351
28
OptionProbability
28
23
16
15
6
4
4
4
Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?
Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12%chance
3587
OptionVotes
271
37
During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?
Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
8.26%chance
11334
OptionVotes
1269
925
Which Home Assistant release will officially rename Home Assistant Cloud to "Home Assistant Link"?
Oct 3, 12:05 AMApr 1, 10:59 AM
4131
OptionProbability
83
4
3
3
3
3
OptionVotes
106
95
Will the UK revoke citizenship from more than 5,000 naturalised citizens in any single year by EOY2030?
Jul 22, 10:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
34.79%chance
465
OptionVotes
137
73
OptionVotes
128
78
OptionVotes
105
95