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Top stories

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Authors

13

3 months ago

UK Rail Police Warn Violence Against Women Up 59% Since 2021

UK Rail Police Warn Violence Against Women Up 59% Since 2021

Authors

15

3 months ago

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

Authors

6

3 months ago

UK Police Expand Live Facial Recognition at Notting Hill Carnival, Stir Privacy Backlash

Authors

19

3 months ago

UK Asylum Claims Reach Record 111,000 in Year to June

Authors

8

4 months ago

UK Police Seek to Charge 60 Supporters of Banned Palestine Action

Authors

10

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Home Office

UK Labour builds how many homes by July 4, 2029?

May 17, 11:09 PMJul 3, 11:59 PM

41917

OptionProbability

Below 750,000

750,000 - 999,999

1,000,000 - 1,249,999

1,250,000 - 1,499,999

1,500,000 - 1,749,999

1,750,000 - 1,999,999

2,000,000 - 2,250,000

Above 2,250,000

22

21

19

19

6

4

4

4

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.49%chance

91006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1709

585

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

925

Number of accidentally released migrant sex offenders in UK by 2026

Nov 5, 4:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5248

OptionProbability

2

4

3

Other

52

24

14

10

Will officials determine that the Oct 4, 2025 fire at Judge Diane Goodstein’s home was intentionally set (arson)?

Oct 24, 1:16 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

52.69%chance

5228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

948

Will the UK revoke citizenship from more than 5,000 naturalised citizens in any single year by EOY2030?

Jul 22, 10:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

34.79%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will the UK grant more work visas in the year ending September 2025 than in the year ending September 2024?

Jan 20, 4:29 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

47.76%chance

265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

625

576

Setagaya Family Murder Solved by EOY2030?

Jun 22, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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