OptionProbability
Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense)
Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)
Pam Bondi (Attorney General)
Kristi Noem (Secretary of Homeland Security)
Russel Vought (OMB director)
Howard Lutnick (Secretary of Commerce)
RFK Jr. (Secretary of HHS)
Scott Bessent (Secretary of the Treasury)
John Ratcliffe (Director of the CIA)
Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)
Doug Burgum (Secretary of the Interior)
Brooke Rollins (Secretary of Agriculture)
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (Secretary of Labor)
Scott Turner (HUD Secretary)
Sean Duffy (Secretary of Transportation)
Chris Wright (Secretary of Energy)
Linda McMahon (Secretary of Education)
Doug Collins (Secretary of Veterans Affairs)
Susie Wiles (Chief of Staff)
Lee Zeldin (EPA administrator)
Kelly Loeffler (Administrator of the Small Business Administration)
Mike Waltz (or confirmed UN Ambassador)
Jamieson Greer (US Trade Representative)
JD Vance (Vice President)
32
16
14
9
5
3
2
1
Secretary of Defense: Pete Hegseth
Chief of Staff: Susie Wiles
Director of National Intelligence: Tulsi Gabbard
Secretary of State: Marco Rubio
Secretary of Education: Linda McMahon
Federal Bureau of Investigation Director: Kash Patel
Secretary of Commerce: Howard Lutnick
Secretary of Health and Human Services: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Secretary of Homeland Security: Kristi Noem
Secretary of Transportation: Sean Duffy
Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency: Lee Zeldin
Director of the Office of Management and Budget: Russ Vought
Administrator of the Small Business Administration: Kelly Lorffler
Attorney General: Pam Bondi
Director of Central Intelligence Agency: John Ratcliffe
Secretary of Agriculture: Brooke Rollins
Secretary of Labor: Lori Chavez-DeRemer
United States Trade Representative: James Greer
Ambassador to the United Nations:
Secretary of the Treasury: Scott Bassent
Secretary of the Interior: Doug Burgum
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development: Scott Turner
Secretary of Energy: Chris Wright
Secretary of Veteran Affairs: Doug Collins
President: Donald Trump
Vice President: JD Vance
78
65
64
54
43
40
38
33
31
29
28
27
22
8
OptionVotes
NO
YES
500
122
238
42
1492
670