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Homie News
Prediction markets for Homie
Prediction markets for Homie
Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?
Jun 29, 4:04 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
65%
chance
45
2609
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1126
899
If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
Mar 10, 5:05 PM
Nov 3, 7:59 AM
63%
chance
25
1102
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1081
943
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2030?
Sep 29, 5:25 PM
Apr 1, 4:59 AM
60.38%
chance
16
965
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1268
767
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2025?
Sep 29, 5:23 PM
Jun 1, 4:59 AM
89.15%
chance
12
599
Option
Votes
NO
YES
511
59
Will any January 6th participant pardoned/commuted by Trump be responsible for a homicide before 1/20/2027?
Jan 24, 8:54 PM
Jan 21, 4:59 AM
37.65%
chance
9
373
Option
Votes
YES
NO
129
78
Another Manifold user charged with homicide before 2027?
Jun 26, 5:26 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
16.19%
chance
7
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
228
44
Will Chicago have fewer than 400 homicides in 2026?
Jan 22, 8:57 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.35%
chance
5
125
Option
Votes
YES
NO
235
173
Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
Feb 8, 10:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
39.95%
chance
5
53
Option
Votes
NO
YES
128
127
[Objective/sentiment market hybrid] 2040 scientific consensus will be that hominins regularly used hand tools?
Jul 9, 2:54 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
52.91%
chance
2
6
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
94
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