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Prediction markets for Hong Kong Government
Prediction markets for Hong Kong Government
Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027
Mar 19, 4:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
31.64%
chance
10
746
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1470
680
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
24.28%
chance
7
315
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1051
819
Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
Nov 8, 5:02 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
66.24%
chance
9
276
Option
Votes
NO
YES
240
188
If a world governance forms a singleton, then will that singleton compromise Taiwan to become part of China?
Mar 10, 12:29 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
47.32%
chance
2
18
Option
Votes
NO
YES
90
90
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