OptionProbability
Scott Bessent
No one by end of 2026
Other
Scott Kupor
David Sacks
Michael Kratsios
Jensen Huang
Elon Musk
Sriram Krishnan
Marc Andreessen
Marco Rubio
J.D. Vance
Peter Thiel
Mark Zuckerberg
Donald Trump
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Emil Michael
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Rudy Giuliani
Dean Ball
Sam Altman
Dario Amodei
Tim Cook
Séb Krier
Keith Rabois
Jacob Helberg
Katherine Boyle
37
21
10
9
7
2
1
0