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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Ex-Trump Science Chief Rallies Academia Against NIH Overhead Cuts

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for House Appropriations

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1201

833

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.96%chance

474052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8923

4537

Trump vetoes Epstein files bill during second term?

Nov 16, 1:24 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

11.28%chance

342792

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

36

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

Will Democrats begin to call the $1.776 billion dollar slush fund the “Epstein Loyalty Fund” by the midterms election?

May 21, 12:51 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

22.87%chance

101468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Will China become democratic before 2030?

Jan 3, 10:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.54%chance

13420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

26

Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027?

May 13, 8:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030?

Jun 21, 10:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.34%chance

635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

What will Gabon's 2028 'Freedom in the World' score be?

Sep 9, 3:05 AMSep 16, 6:59 AM

39%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

79

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