House Bill News

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM

16.18%chance

9340009

OptionVotes

YES

10258

1941

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.43%chance

509368

OptionVotes

YES

13135

3475

Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.05%chance

222229

OptionVotes

YES

1256

808

Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?

Oct 30, 5:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.01%chance

292209

OptionVotes

YES

1127

916

Terminally Ill Adults Bill UK (assisted dying)

Feb 7, 2:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51861

OptionProbability

Bill reintroduced in 2026-27 session and passes both Houses

Parliament Act used in second session (2026-27) to pass bill

Bill reintroduced in 2026-27 session but fails again

Bill rejected at Lords Third Reading before EOY 2027

Bill stalls in Lords committee stage through EOY 2027

Bill passes Lords with significant amendments before EOY 2027

Bill receives royal assent before EOY 2027

Bill passes Lords with minimal amendments before EOY 2027

Bill passes Lords but Commons rejects Lords amendments before EOY 2027

Bill receives royal assent this parliamentary session

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

10297

9614

Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?

Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

81.64%chance

7986

OptionVotes

YES

1483

858

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Mar 21, 5:34 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM

64.4%chance

6463

OptionVotes

YES

1345

744

Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?

Apr 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.81%chance

7457

OptionVotes

YES

1357

737

Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?

Mar 22, 5:45 AMJan 4, 4:59 AM

7380

OptionProbability

119th

120th

Other

121th

118th

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

YES

1009

991

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

House Bill News

Prediction markets for House Bill

Prediction markets for House Bill

Prediction markets for House Bill

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?

Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?

Terminally Ill Adults Bill UK (assisted dying)

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?

Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

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