House Bill News

Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?

Oct 30, 5:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.01%chance

292209

OptionVotes

YES

1127

916

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.4%chance

171833

OptionVotes

YES

1027

971

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

10382

9514

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

22.42%chance

121218

OptionVotes

YES

1860

538

Will any of the house, senate, or Supreme Court cease to exist before 2050?

Nov 15, 2:17 PMDec 30, 2:15 PM

25.04%chance

91085

OptionVotes

YES

1730

578

Will 50-year mortgages be offered by 2029?

Nov 11, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.29%chance

8846

OptionVotes

YES

1766

566

Will Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?

Nov 23, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.35%chance

3515

OptionVotes

YES

1515

660

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

YES

1009

991

Survivor 2026: Whose (GOP Primary) Torch Will Trump Fail to Snuff?

Jan 5, 12:45 AMSep 30, 12:59 AM

6372

OptionProbability

Susan Collins (Senate - ME): Voted to convict Trump in 2021.

John Cornyn (Senate - TX): With McConnell retiring, Cornyn is the new face of the "Establishment". Trump allies (like Texas AG Ken Paxton) have actively floated primary challenges against him.

David Valadao (House - CA): The only House Republican who voted to impeach Trump who is running for re-election in 2026.

Field (Any other Targeted Incumbent not listed): If a major new target emerges add them as a standalone option.

Thomas Massie (House - KY-04): Voted against the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act"

Bill Cassidy (Senate - LA): Voted to convict Trump in 2021 and was immediately censured by his state party. He is running for re-election and will face a massive Trump-backed primary challenge.

No Targeted Incumbent will survive (Trump Sweep)

Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?

Mar 22, 5:45 AMJan 4, 4:59 AM

6190

OptionProbability

119th

120th

Other

121th

118th

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.57%chance

2135

OptionVotes

YES

1115

897

House Bill News

Prediction markets for House Bill

Prediction markets for House Bill

Prediction markets for House Bill

Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Will any of the house, senate, or Supreme Court cease to exist before 2050?

Will 50-year mortgages be offered by 2029?

Will Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Survivor 2026: Whose (GOP Primary) Torch Will Trump Fail to Snuff?

Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

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