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Prediction markets for House Capital

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.66%chance

43645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4212

237

Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?

Nov 15, 6:39 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

191864

OptionProbability

10

9

0-3

7-8

4-6

98

1

1

0

0

Will the U.S. capital be Washington, D.C. at the end of the decade?

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

94.87%chance

171421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1796

892

Will Valve begin manufacturing RAM before May 1st, 2026

Mar 15, 6:02 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

3.93%chance

251366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

426

70

Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?

Dec 17, 11:30 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

2%chance

91220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

Mar 23, 12:27 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

7.17%chance

7876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

360

28

I make a coin-pusher game?

Dec 3, 9:43 PMApr 5, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will Donald J Trump visit the Massachusetts State House Capitol by EOY2028?

Feb 21, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Is Floyd Mayweather Broke? 🥊💰🤑💵💸

Mar 8, 2:45 PMDec 31, 2:41 PM

56.94%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

320

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