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Prediction markets for House Capital

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

84871

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

13

13

12

9

8

7

7

5

5

5

5

5

4

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.1%chance

63775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2722

367

Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?

Nov 15, 6:39 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

191864

OptionProbability

10

9

0-3

7-8

4-6

98

1

1

0

0

Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?

Dec 17, 11:30 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

5.32%chance

131460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

422

24

Will the U.S. capital be Washington, D.C. at the end of the decade?

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

94.87%chance

171421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1796

892

After the 2026 elections, how many elected US House representatives will identify as Socialist or Communist?

Jul 21, 4:24 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

51401

OptionProbability

7 - 8

5 - 6

9 - 10

3 - 4

11 - 12

13 - 14

15 or more

1 - 2

0

23

21

15

10

9

7

6

5

4

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Before when will the Netherlands adopt capital gains tax on realized returns?

Sep 2, 12:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1333

OptionProbability

Before 2042

Before 2040

Before 2038

Before 2036

Before 2034

Before 2032

Before 2030

Before 2028

83

70

66

62

59

50

30

1

Is Floyd Mayweather Broke? 🥊💰🤑💵💸

Mar 8, 2:45 PMDec 31, 2:41 PM

77%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

55

I make a coin-pusher game?

Dec 3, 9:43 PMApr 5, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will Donald J Trump visit the Massachusetts State House Capitol by EOY2028?

Feb 21, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

320

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