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Top stories

North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper Approval at 55%, Whatley 30%; Schumer, Democrats Face Negative National Ratings

US Domestic Policy

North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper Approval at 55%, Whatley 30%; Schumer, Democrats Face Negative National Ratings

Authors

3

8 months ago

Prediction markets for House Democratic

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

50%chance

244156533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

1001

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

90.6%chance

7343399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3106

322

Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections?

Nov 16, 6:47 AMJan 4, 5:59 AM

2.68%chance

138521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6024

166

Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?

Apr 5, 6:51 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

49%chance

295408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.88%chance

304918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2008

498

Democrat elected Speaker of the House by end of 2026?

Nov 27, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.06%chance

43710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2836

353

If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?

May 12, 7:47 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

48.39%chance

492673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

Feb 11, 3:22 PMNov 4, 12:00 AM

56.95%chance

91091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

869

How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Jan 24, 9:13 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM

29.45%chance

3812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

736

Democratic House Speaker before 30 November 2026?

Feb 1, 11:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

10.1%chance

6811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

683

68

Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)

Jan 11, 3:45 AMNov 2, 11:59 PM

60.89%chance

6546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

802

Democratic Trifecta in 2028? (Win House, Senate and Presidency)

Apr 21, 7:02 PMNov 2, 10:59 PM

59%chance

6405

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

834

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