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House GOP News

    Prediction markets for House GOP

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2377

    421

    📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Feb 5, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    221231

    OptionProbability

    6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states

    Chat GPT 6 releases

    Israel : Hamas Ceasefire

    MLB World Series won by the National League team

    at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)

    Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude

    GTA VI Release

    GOP loses control of the House

    there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice

    Russia : Ukraine ceasefire

    Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone

    Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)

    Imu face reveal in One Piece

    grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa

    nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)

    Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel

    Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce

    reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread

    Assassination of an African head of state

    Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital

    bitcoin reaches a new all time high

    H5N1 pandemic declared

    Assassination of a European or Asian head of state

    Pope Francis dies

    North Korea and South Korea conflict reignites into a hot war, and results in at least one death

    commercial airline hijacking

    Joe Biden dies

    Vladimir Putin dies

    Donald Trump dies

    86

    76

    66

    66

    64

    61

    61

    59

    45

    40

    36

    34

    34

    33

    31

    30

    30

    30

    29

    26

    24

    24

    18

    17

    17

    17

    16

    9

    6

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1975

    506

    Who will be the next Governor of Minnesota?

    Jan 8, 10:39 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
    9896

    OptionProbability

    Amy Klobuchar (DFL)

    Other

    Jesse Ventura (Independent)

    Steve Simon (DFL)

    Lisa Demuth (R)

    Bill Gates Jr. (DFL)

    Kelly Morrison (DFL)

    Erin Murphy (DFL)

    Keith Ellison (DFL)

    Scott Jensen (R)

    Mike Lindell (R)

    Kristin Robbins (R)

    Brad Kohler (R)

    Kendall Qualls (R)

    Jeff Johnson (R)

    Chris Madel (R)

    Phillip Parrish (R)

    Tim Pawlenty (R)

    Tom Emmer (R)

    Pete Stauber (R)

    Mike Newcome (Independent)

    87

    3

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    356

    101

    OptionProbability

    At least 4 GOP Senators explicitly come out against Trump on Greenland.

    The EU implements relaliatory tariffs.

    At least 5 GOP House members explicity come out against Trump on Greenland.

    The tariffs against Europe are put into full effect.

    Mass economic isolation of the US.

    The US gains control of at least part of Greenland through diplomatic means.

    NATO dissolves

    The US invades Greenland.

    US and Europe get into a war.

    Trump gets into a war with Canada.

    85

    82

    76

    72

    34

    12

    10

    5

    4

    4

    How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?

    Dec 25, 8:00 PMOct 11, 3:59 AM
    11642

    OptionProbability

    41+ seats

    31-40 seats

    0-10

    21-30 seats

    11-20 seats

    seat gain

    29

    18

    15

    15

    14

    10

    How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?

    Dec 13, 6:21 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM
    6609

    OptionProbability

    He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.

    He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.

    He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.

    He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.

    Other

    He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.

    He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.

    25

    22

    15

    15

    15

    5

    3

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    632

    122

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    271

    155

    GOP House Conference stock

    May 2, 3:37 AMMay 2, 3:59 AM
    9557

    OptionProbability

    YES

    NO

    174

    103

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