House Minority News

NZ MP Chlöe Swarbrick Ejected Over Palestine Debate After Sanctions Call and Netanyahu Accusation; US Democrat Clark Labels Gaza War Genocide

9 months ago

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17279484

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

80.39%chance

299019

OptionVotes

YES

2025

494

Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?

Feb 21, 10:29 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

423033

OptionProbability

Other

Steve Scalise (current Republican Majority Leader, previous Speaker-Elect)

Mike Johnson Again (after being removed from power, then put back in power)

Jim Jordan (Previous Republican Speaker-Elect)

Elise Stefanik (Republican Conference Chairman)

Byron Donalds (Previous Speaker contender)

Tom Emmer (Republican Whip, previous Speaker-Elect)

Gary Palmer (Republican Policy Committee Chairman, Previous Speaker contender)

Patrick McHenry (Previous Republican Speaker pro tempore)

Kevin Hern (Previous Speaker contender)

Jack Bergman (Previous Speaker contender)

Austin Scott (Previous Speaker contender)

Chuck Fleischmann (Previous Speaker contender)

Mark Green (Previous Speaker contender)

Roger Williams (Previous Speaker contender)

Jodey Arrington (Previous Speaker contender)

Tom Cole (Chair of the House Rules Committee)

Donald Trump (Republican Candidate for President)

Kevin McCarthy (Previous Republican Speaker)

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

69.62%chance

81640

OptionVotes

YES

1516

661

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

14%chance

71613

OptionVotes

YES

2479

403

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

Feb 17, 2:53 AMJul 1, 12:00 AM

97.96%chance

91363

OptionVotes

YES

692

Will the (unweighted) average US age of consent increase by Dec 31, 2035?

Feb 7, 9:34 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

4550

OptionProbability

Increase

Stays the same

Decrease

Hakeem Jeffries loses a primary in 2026?

Jun 29, 7:34 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

6.8%chance

11454

OptionVotes

YES

371

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

Jun 12, 2:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13391

OptionProbability

2080

Other

2070

AFTER widespread Bitcoin adoption

2050

Lmao

2060

2090

2040

2100

2110

2130

2140

2150

2160

2170

2180

2190

2200

2120

President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?

Feb 10, 3:59 AMNov 2, 11:59 PM

6%chance

6374

OptionVotes

YES

396

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027

Jan 14, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.66%chance

10369

OptionVotes

YES

251

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

Will the (unweighted) average US age of consent increase by Dec 31, 2035?

Hakeem Jeffries loses a primary in 2026?

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

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