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Prediction markets for House Representatives

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

133197405

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

79

21

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

83.57%chance

4013484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2255

443

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

16.44%chance

269317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2254

444

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

97.7%chance

157630

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6521

153

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

54.93%chance

365316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

906

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.88%chance

284567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1946

514

Will Destiny run for the Senate or the House of Representatives before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.74%chance

262565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1751

830

Will the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 6, 4:20 PMJan 9, 7:59 AM

58.22%chance

302067

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

750

Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 5:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.9%chance

441277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

810

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

71.73%chance

5709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1593

628

Will Matthew McConaughey run for the Senate or the House of Representatives or governor before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:34 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

36.79%chance

14707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

958

Democrats representing California at start of 120th House term?

Oct 26, 5:08 PMFeb 1, 5:05 PM

3556

OptionProbability

41 - 43

44 - 46

47 - 49

35 - 37

38 - 40

50 - 52

Above 52

Below 35

16

16

15

13

13

13

8

5

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