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Prediction markets for HTS

Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?

Aug 10, 1:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.59%chance

2128996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3186

589

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

292009

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

Will Syria be Secular?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

29

21

17

17

Will Rojava still exist in 2030?

Dec 12, 2:59 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.34%chance

5940

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1920

521

Will the Syrian civil war continue (for more than 6 months) after the Assad regime falls?

Dec 8, 3:33 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

30%chance

21801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.61%chance

6540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

810

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