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Tech

Apple Weighs Bumper Case Comeback for Ultra-Thin iPhone 17 Air

1 year ago

China

Business

Tech

China’s June Smartphone Shipments Fall 9.3% to 22.6 Million; Foreign Phones Down 31.3%, Huawei Reclaims Top Spot

1 year ago

China

Malaysia

Automobile

BYD Adds Malaysia Plant and Luxury Track as China EV Exports Surge

1 year ago

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.96%chance

4623413

OptionVotes

YES

12005

8330

Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?

Sep 2, 9:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

523998

OptionProbability

Tesla

BYD

Other

Huawei

Waymo

Zoox

CommaAI

Toyota

Ford

Cruise

Apple

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

73325

OptionProbability

Huawei

Alibaba

SenseTime

ByteDance

Xiaomi

Tencent

Baidu

Lenovo

Zhipu AI

Moonshot AI

iFlyTek

Cambricon

Deepseek

MiniMax

Which company will facilitate the greatest number of autonomous vehicle rides in 2030?

Nov 28, 5:56 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

392071

OptionProbability

Other

Waymo

Tesla

Huawei

Cruise

Comma AI

Which company will win the self-driving car race?

Jun 12, 12:44 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

382065

OptionProbability

#Tesla

Other

BYD

Waymo

Huawei

Baidu Inc

General Motors (GM)

Mobileye

Ford

Comma AI

Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?

Oct 29, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.08%chance

122005

OptionVotes

YES

2833

353

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.75%chance

171910

OptionVotes

YES

2681

374

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

Dec 18, 6:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

10483

OptionVotes

YES

142

By EOY 2030, what will happen with Google/UCSD’s retired-phone low-carbon computing project?

Jun 13, 3:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3255

OptionProbability

At least 1,000 phones are documented as deployed

A preprint or public technical paper is published

A peer-reviewed paper is published

At least 1 million phones are documented as deployed

At least 100 non-Pixel Android phones are documented as deployed

At least 100 HarmonyOS / Huawei phones are documented as deployed

The Google blog post is the last substantive public update

At least 100 iPhones are documented as deployed

At least 100 other smartphone platform phones are documented as deployed

At least 1 billion phones are documented as deployed

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

YES

1115

1009

Number of H100 equivalent chips (by Flops) Huawei will make in year 2026

May 2, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1200

OptionProbability

500,000 - 999,999

Below 100,000

100,000 - 499,999

1,000,000 - 2,499,999

2,500,000 - 4,999,999

5,000,000 - 9,999,999

10,000,000+

Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.89%chance

7161

OptionVotes

YES

107

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Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

Which company will facilitate the greatest number of autonomous vehicle rides in 2030?

Which company will win the self-driving car race?

Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

By EOY 2030, what will happen with Google/UCSD’s retired-phone low-carbon computing project?

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Number of H100 equivalent chips (by Flops) Huawei will make in year 2026

Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?

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