Hug News

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7913429

OptionProbability

None of the above before 2029

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

Which sexual/romantic acts will James Bond be part of in the next James Bond movie?

Feb 13, 3:16 AMFeb 28, 7:59 PM

656022

OptionProbability

Kissing

Puts his hand on the small of a woman's back (does not have to be romantic/sexual touch)

Sex is implied but not shown (e.g. Kissing, then fading to black and then waking up in bed together)

Flirts with Moneypenny

Cuddling

Hugging

Kisses (or more) with multiple partners (not necessarily at once)

Committing a crime together

Romantic dinner

Holding hands

Missionary

Say or be told "I love you" (Any language)

Massage

Sexting

Multiple partners (at once)

Spanking (receive or give)

Oral

Gay sex

Anal

Oral (giving)

Oral (receiving)

Pegging

Double Anal Penetration

Will Hugh Jackman appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

Jan 27, 9:08 AMDec 17, 10:00 AM

59%chance

291776

OptionVotes

YES

1427

438

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Aug 11, 5:29 PMAug 11, 8:59 PM

5.61%chance

13822

OptionVotes

YES

1289

949

Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?

Feb 11, 2:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.81%chance

15571

OptionVotes

YES

1110

931

Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?

Jan 18, 12:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.81%chance

17548

OptionVotes

YES

1147

955

Which novelette will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Apr 21, 11:25 PMAug 30, 11:00 PM

1262

OptionProbability

“The Millay Illusion” - Sarah Pinsker (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 67)

“Never Eaten Vegetables” - H.H. Pak (Clarkesworld, Issue 220)

“Kaiju Agonistes” - Scott Lynch (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 62)

“Rapport: Friendship, Solidarity, Communion, Empathy” - Martha Wells (Reactor, July 10, 2025)

“The Girl That My Mother Is Leaving Me For” - Cameron Reed (Reactor, April 2, 2025)

“When He Calls Your Name” - Catherynne M. Valente (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 65)

Will Huggingface a fold by 2028?

Mar 23, 2:19 PMJan 16, 10:59 PM

16.64%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

310

Which novella will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Apr 21, 11:24 PMAug 30, 11:00 PM

3146

OptionProbability

The River Has Roots - Amal El-Mohtar

What Stalks the Deep - T. Kingfisher

The Summer War - Naomi Novik

Automatic Noodle - Annalee Newitz

Murder by Memory - Olivia Waite

Cinder House - Freya Marske

Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?

May 12, 4:18 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

396

OptionProbability

Other

Gpt-4 passes the bar exam

Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3

HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face

Lima: Less is more for alignment

Autoregressive Image Generation without Vector Quantization

Will Coleman Hughes create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.02%chance

888

OptionVotes

YES

250

161

Will there be a stuffed gwern hug pillow (or realdoll) available online by EOY2045?

Jul 3, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Hug News

Prediction markets for Hug

Prediction markets for Hug

Prediction markets for Hug

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Which sexual/romantic acts will James Bond be part of in the next James Bond movie?

Will Hugh Jackman appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?

Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?

Which novelette will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Will Huggingface a fold by 2028?

Which novella will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?

Will Coleman Hughes create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will there be a stuffed gwern hug pillow (or realdoll) available online by EOY2045?

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