Hugging Face News

In how many months from the the 1 of January 2025 will the Russo-Ukraine war end.

Feb 27, 9:30 PMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

4782928

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 3

Above 6

Above 9

Above 12

Above 15

Above 18

Above 24

100

When will OpenAI release a technical report on the Hugging Face hack?

Jul 28, 9:48 PMSep 2, 6:59 AM

3914703

OptionProbability

August 9 - August 15

August 16 - August 22

Later

August 23 - August 29

August 2 - August 8

Before August 2

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8014586

OptionProbability

None of the above before 2029

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

Is Attention All You Need?

Nov 16, 5:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

93.89%chance

616763

OptionVotes

YES

3446

146

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Jul 12, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

242014

OptionVotes

YES

1832

546

Will a criminal investigation into OpenAI over the Hugging Face breach be publicly confirmed before 2028?

Jul 23, 9:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.77%chance

10541

OptionVotes

YES

1340

746

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Feb 11, 5:07 AMJul 1, 4:06 AM

4528

OptionProbability

July 1, 2027 or later

Jan 1, 2027 – June 30, 2027

July 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Before July 1, 2026

Will any existing generative AI unicorn go public by 2027?

Aug 27, 3:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

73.99%chance

18371

OptionVotes

YES

1015

921

Will credible evidence show that OpenAI deliberately staged the July 2026 Hugging Face incident by January 1, 2027?

Aug 8, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.35%chance

2112

OptionVotes

YES

210

Will "Are we existentially threatened by the type o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 23, 10:01 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.79%chance

2101

OptionVotes

YES

1094

985

Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?

May 12, 4:18 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

396

OptionProbability

Other

Gpt-4 passes the bar exam

Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3

HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face

Lima: Less is more for alignment

Autoregressive Image Generation without Vector Quantization

Will the HappyHorse-1.0 weights become publicly available before EOY 2026?

Apr 9, 3:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

146

Hugging Face News

Prediction markets for Hugging Face

Prediction markets for Hugging Face

Prediction markets for Hugging Face

In how many months from the the 1 of January 2025 will the Russo-Ukraine war end.

When will OpenAI release a technical report on the Hugging Face hack?

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Is Attention All You Need?

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Will a criminal investigation into OpenAI over the Hugging Face breach be publicly confirmed before 2028?

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Will any existing generative AI unicorn go public by 2027?

Will credible evidence show that OpenAI deliberately staged the July 2026 Hugging Face incident by January 1, 2027?

Will "Are we existentially threatened by the type o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?

Will the HappyHorse-1.0 weights become publicly available before EOY 2026?

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