Human Resource News
Prediction markets for Human Resource
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
19543852
OptionProbability
65
22
8
5
Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?
Jun 11, 7:59 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
24%chance
538570
OptionVotes
1780
562
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?
Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.08%chance
746756
OptionVotes
1862
1305
Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028
Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
62.44%chance
555211
OptionVotes
1461
556
OptionVotes
997
980
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.63%chance
412228
OptionVotes
1281
881
Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?
Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
54.61%chance
281702
OptionVotes
1032
938
Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?
Mar 16, 11:50 AMMar 16, 9:59 PM
18985
OptionProbability
35
19
14
12
12
6
1
1
0
OptionProbability
55
53
37
35
34
33
33
28
if the singularity occurs, will humans be apportioned resources according to their pre-singularity wealth?
Mar 20, 7:11 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM
13.62%chance
20467
OptionVotes
1299
910
Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?
Dec 13, 3:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
14%chance
14456
OptionVotes
1107
954
Will any prominent e/accs switch sides to Notkilleveryoneism after examining the arguments in detail?
Apr 9, 9:06 PMApr 9, 10:59 PM
73.83%chance
17361
OptionVotes
1063
967