Human Resource News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19947933

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns?

Sep 10, 8:16 AMOct 3, 6:59 AM

7836816

OptionProbability

1+ OpenAI employees resign

2+ Anthropic employees resign

2+ OpenAI employees resign

3+ Anthropic employees resign

3+ OpenAI employees resign

4+ Anthropic employees resign

4+ OpenAI employees resign

5+ Anthropic employees resign

5+ OpenAI employees resign

Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?

Jun 11, 7:59 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24%chance

538570

OptionVotes

YES

1780

562

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.36%chance

777061

OptionVotes

YES

2141

1245

Will humans deliberately cause an AI winter?

Mar 15, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27%chance

552307

OptionVotes

YES

1016

892

Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?

Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.63%chance

412228

OptionVotes

YES

1281

881

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55.74%chance

291727

OptionVotes

YES

1057

918

Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?

Mar 16, 11:50 AMMar 16, 9:59 PM

18985

OptionProbability

Economically outcompete human civilization, accumulating all resources and ending civilization as a side effect

Wipe them out

fully satisfy all our deepest desires

Efficiently convert them to paperclips

Other

Proceeds to achieve its unaligned goals while ruling over humans as a dictator

Everybody drops dead at the same time

Keep them as pets

Tortures us bringing the greatest suffering possible

If an AI catastrophe occurs (1000+ linked deaths), it will be...

Jul 25, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12924

OptionProbability

Because a human directed it to do so

an open source model

A proprietary model

A rogue AI agent acting autonomously

A cyber-physical system malfunction

Military system error

A combination of multiple models

Source unknown/untraceable

Financial system collapse

an openAI model

Biological agent synthesis/release

Due to poor resource allocation (i.e. the AI is responsible for, and fails to continue medicine/food/water stability to a place where human decisionmaking previously successfully did)

A Google model

an Anthropic model

Infrastructure/power grid failure

Accidental release of research code

A nation-state model

Automated social manipulation/misinformation

A Meta model

A Microsoft model

First jobs to be replaced by AI?

Sep 16, 4:47 PMJan 1, 5:15 PM

21885

OptionProbability

Customer Service Representative < 2028

Travel Agent - as we know it - to buy the travel packages <2027 (during 2026)

Market Research Analyst < 2030

Compliance Officer < 2030

Human Resources Manager < 2030

Graphic Designer < 2028

Judges < 2040

Teacher < 2040

if the singularity occurs, will humans be apportioned resources according to their pre-singularity wealth?

Mar 20, 7:11 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

13.62%chance

20467

OptionVotes

YES

490

101

Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?

Dec 13, 3:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14%chance

14456

OptionVotes

YES

1107

954

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Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns?

Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will humans deliberately cause an AI winter?

Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?

If an AI catastrophe occurs (1000+ linked deaths), it will be...

First jobs to be replaced by AI?

if the singularity occurs, will humans be apportioned resources according to their pre-singularity wealth?

Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?

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