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Prediction markets for HydroGEN

What proportion new car/suv/light truck sales will be hydrogen powered in 2030?

Mar 16, 10:57 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

3.73%chance

213145

OptionProbability

YES

NO

3461

685

Will hydrogen cars be more popular than electric cars in 2030 in the first world?

Oct 9, 4:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.24%chance

332257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2491

820

Will the majority of new passenger aircraft sold in 2050 be hydrogen fueled?

Jan 8, 11:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

13.89%chance

291505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1616

837

Will any electric or hydrogen passenger airplane that can seat at least 100 people be in commercial use before 2033?

Feb 7, 9:15 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.84%chance

13706

OptionVotes

NO

YES

982

896

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

879

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.41%chance

14411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

99

HB11 Energy will demonstrate fusion net gain with hydrogen-boron fuel by 12/31/2027.

Aug 18, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.69%chance

8356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

75

In which of the following years will the net rate of chemical conversion of hydrogen into hydrocarbons be positive?

Nov 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8303

OptionProbability

2050

2040

2035

2030

35

26

21

17

Will hydrogen be the defacto liquid fuel source by 2030? 🛫⛽️🚢🚗

Oct 18, 5:28 AMJan 25, 7:59 AM

8.14%chance

8301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

137

Will Toyota stop selling hydrogen-powered cars like the Mirai by the end of 2030?

May 13, 9:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.34%chance

375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

100GW of hydrogen electrolyzer capacity by 2033?

Dec 13, 4:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will China be the leading producer of green hydrogen in 2030?

Jan 2, 1:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.02%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

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