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Prediction markets for HydroGEN

What proportion new car/suv/light truck sales will be hydrogen powered in 2030?

Mar 16, 10:57 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

3.73%chance

213145

OptionProbability

YES

NO

3461

685

Will hydrogen cars be more popular than electric cars in 2030 in the first world?

Oct 9, 4:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.24%chance

332257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2491

820

Will the majority of new passenger aircraft sold in 2050 be hydrogen fueled?

Jan 8, 11:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.95%chance

311630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1159

928

Will any electric or hydrogen passenger airplane that can seat at least 100 people be in commercial use before 2033?

Feb 7, 9:15 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.19%chance

13756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

960

946

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.74%chance

16473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

283

71

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

879

In which of the following years will the net rate of chemical conversion of hydrogen into hydrocarbons be positive?

Nov 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8303

OptionProbability

2050

2040

2035

2030

35

26

21

17

Will hydrogen be the defacto liquid fuel source by 2030? 🛫⛽️🚢🚗

Oct 18, 5:28 AMJan 25, 7:59 AM

8.14%chance

8301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

137

Will a laboratory reproduce a verified peer reviewed sample of Metallic Hydrogen by the end of 2030?

Mar 17, 9:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.91%chance

6141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

158

Will Toyota stop selling hydrogen-powered cars like the Mirai by the end of 2030?

May 13, 9:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.34%chance

375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

Which country will be the leading producer of green hydrogen in 2030?

Jan 2, 2:16 PMDec 9, 10:59 PM

368

OptionProbability

China

United States

Other

Iceland

Australia

Spain

39

13

13

12

11

11

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Jul 31, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

At least 1GW production capacity by 2025

At least 5GW production capacity by 2030

At least 10GW production capacity by 2035

Between 250-460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Less than 250TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

More than 460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

50

50

50

50

50

50

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