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Top stories

Gold ETFs GLD, GLDM, IAU Rise with UFO, GDX Allocations; GLD Nears Breakout on October $323 Calls

Gold ETFs GLD, GLDM, IAU Rise with UFO, GDX Allocations; GLD Nears Breakout on October $323 Calls

Authors

6

5 months ago

Prediction markets for IAU

Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery?

May 5, 4:30 AMJan 2, 5:29 AM

11.1%chance

72000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2830

353

Will Pluto be reclassified as a planet before 2050?

Mar 22, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

12.47%chance

32982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1406

894

Is the natural frequency of abiogenesis at least 1/1 trillion planets per billion years?

Oct 3, 1:33 AMJan 2, 2:29 AM

77.1%chance

8935

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1835

545

If Planet Nine is discovered, what will it be named?

Mar 21, 11:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

13356

OptionProbability

Other

Persephone

Telisto

Jehoshaphat

71

22

3

3

Will the IAU change the definition of a planet by 2040?

Feb 24, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

27

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

Which of Orcus, Salacia, Gonggong and Sedna will be formally recognised as dwarf planets by the IAU in 2034?

Apr 30, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Orcus

Salacia

Gonggong

Sedna

50

50

50

50

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