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Top stories

Claire's, Including Icing, Files for Bankruptcy; Over 1,100 US Stores and 2,150 UK Jobs at Risk Amid $690 Million Debt and Tariff Impact

Claire's, Including Icing, Files for Bankruptcy; Over 1,100 US Stores and 2,150 UK Jobs at Risk Amid $690 Million Debt and Tariff Impact

Authors

16

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Icing

Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?

Jan 22, 5:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.33%chance

3421610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16274

7680

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

48.16%chance

7120171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7106

4712

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45.56%chance

8517148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2279

1711

EIA Projection for U.S. ICE market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18950

OptionProbability

75.8 - 77.79 %

74 - 75.79 %

71 - 73.99 %

77.8 - 79.99 %

80 - 82.99 %

Other

31

29

15

14

5

5

Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM

54.7%chance

916084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

757

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

84.58%chance

545914

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1630

1188

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66%chance

502545

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

901

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.67%chance

171570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6171

4649

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.44%chance

9859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

571

Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?

Apr 23, 12:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.35%chance

12524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

881

ICE anonymity in Los Angeles limited by December 31, 2025?

Jul 7, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.98%chance

12523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

686

ICE Assistant Chief Counsel James Rodden, "GlomarResponder," leaves role/is fired before December 31, 2025

Feb 19, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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