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Prediction markets for ICJ

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.88%chance

27874619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

1079

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.38%chance

11314826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6748

407

Will Israel be found Guilty of Genocide at the ICJ ?

Jan 12, 5:04 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

20.54%chance

909826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1332

945

If ICJ rules in favor of SA, then which nominee wins 2024 US election?

Jun 3, 6:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43355

OptionProbability

Trump

Biden

20

0

Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention?

Feb 15, 5:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71.96%chance

302586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1602

624

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?

Mar 14, 5:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36%chance

121171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will the ICJ punish/charge Israel of commiting genocide or attempting to commit genocide by the end of 2026?

Dec 26, 12:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.76%chance

6423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

447

22

Will any country/state take China to the ICJ on charges of genocide on its Uyghur population

Jan 15, 4:19 AMJan 31, 9:59 PM

14.93%chance

4140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

59

Will the ICJ determine that Russia committed genocide?

Jun 1, 11:50 PMJan 1, 12:48 AM

25.01%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will the ICJ find Russia in breach of the Genocide Convention?

Jun 1, 11:51 PMJan 1, 12:50 AM

28.29%chance

497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide?

May 31, 9:28 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

31.13%chance

560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will the ICJ find Myanmar in breach of the Genocide Convention?

May 31, 9:30 PMJan 1, 10:29 PM

63.5%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

76

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