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Prediction markets for ICS

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.78%chance

348101616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2426

968

Will any one of the ICE members involved in the shooting of Alex Pretti face any consequences at all?

Jan 24, 6:29 PMFeb 23, 6:17 PM

25.32%chance

36856551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1718

582

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

41.65%chance

7221457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7930

4041

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

39.77%chance

9219446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2552

1512

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

91.75%chance

11415027

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6505

428

EIA Projection for U.S. ICE market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29820

OptionProbability

75.8 - 77.79 %

74 - 75.79 %

77.8 - 79.99 %

71 - 73.99 %

80 - 82.99 %

Other

28

26

23

14

5

5

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

88.12%chance

566365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2074

1119

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.68%chance

195588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10173

3993

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

404391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66%chance

532756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

901

Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?

Dec 21, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.75%chance

332538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

681

Confrontation between ICE and Minnesota police

Jan 25, 2:23 AMApr 1, 1:16 AM

25%chance

142067

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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