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Prediction markets for ID

Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?

Apr 9, 4:21 AMJul 10, 3:59 AM

11.38%chance

9612781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2791

358

California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?

Apr 24, 8:29 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

35%chance

7210729

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2028

418

When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available?

Oct 1, 1:26 PMJan 1, 2:22 PM

3930

OptionProbability

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2027

50

50

35

5

When will I get my "BritCard" ID?

Oct 1, 1:29 PMJan 1, 2:27 PM

3838

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

56

54

46

36

Chinese id cards contain info about sibling count or children count

Aug 20, 8:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.8%chance

7352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

435

58

If I need to show ID to use Twitter or Discord by the next election, which party will win?

Jul 30, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4165

OptionProbability

Reform UK

Labour

Conservatives

Other

55

18

18

10

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.72%chance

5164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

The TSA or U.S. Border Security will experiment with automating their ID checks / Q&A using voice synthesis and speech recognition before the end of 2026

Dec 27, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.59%chance

9129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

152

When re-enabled, will Fable require verification via government ID?

Jun 25, 5:57 PMDec 31, 6:51 PM

58%chance

656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

If Labour wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Jul 29, 2:03 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

45.66%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

If Reform wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Jul 29, 2:03 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If Cons win next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Jul 29, 2:04 AMJan 1, 3:03 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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