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Prediction markets for ID

California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?

Apr 24, 8:29 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

27.72%chance

7911394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2378

477

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 require ID to play legally in the US upon release?

Aug 21, 12:48 AMNov 19, 11:59 PM

11.02%chance

347251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2841

352

How many "safe" Senate seats will Republicans win in 2026? (AL AR ID KY LA MS OK SD TN WV WY)

Jul 18, 3:29 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

142566

OptionProbability

11

10

8 - 9

0 - 2

3 - 5

6 - 7

81

12

5

1

1

0

When will I get my "BritCard" ID?

Oct 1, 1:29 PMJan 1, 2:27 PM

5982

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

56

54

46

36

Chinese id cards contain info about sibling count or children count

Aug 20, 8:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.8%chance

7352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

435

58

Will I have to show my ID to get full access to Discord or Twitter at the time of the next UK election?

Jul 29, 1:57 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

83.86%chance

10260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

44

If I need to show ID to use Twitter or Discord by the next election, which party will win?

Jul 30, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4175

OptionProbability

Reform UK

Labour

Conservatives

Other

45

21

21

12

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.72%chance

5164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

If Labour wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Jul 29, 2:03 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

45.66%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?

Aug 12, 4:29 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

29.4%chance

632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

99

If Cons win next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Jul 29, 2:04 AMJan 1, 3:03 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If Reform wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Jul 29, 2:03 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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