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Prediction markets for IEA
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
59.51%chance
317104503
OptionVotes
1173
837
OptionVotes
1118
705
OptionVotes
1510
524
OptionVotes
1601
628
OptionVotes
1474
539
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM
43.83%chance
161022
OptionVotes
1087
856
Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?
Jan 2, 10:00 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM
35.23%chance
21761
OptionVotes
213
183
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM
21.94%chance
14672
OptionVotes
1338
873
Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?
Mar 11, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.8%chance
5252
OptionVotes
249
137
OptionVotes
144
69
China's battery energy output exceeds 50% of its peak historical coal energy output in any month until December 2025
Dec 10, 3:20 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM
54.48%chance
2105
OptionVotes
1094
914