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Prediction markets for IEA
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
46.38%chance
322112496
OptionVotes
1085
895
OptionVotes
2987
648
OptionVotes
1116
910
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM
62.64%chance
32803
OptionVotes
1295
772
OptionVotes
1009
972
OptionVotes
1454
690
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM
56.41%chance
181372
OptionVotes
1318
626
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM
21.94%chance
14672
OptionVotes
1338
873
Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 15 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?
Mar 4, 12:04 PMMay 31, 12:04 PM
39.34%chance
9194
OptionVotes
124
81
Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 10 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?
Mar 4, 12:04 PMMay 31, 12:04 PM
54.26%chance
5117
OptionVotes
109
92
Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 20 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?
Mar 4, 12:04 PMMay 31, 12:04 PM
55.64%chance
384
OptionVotes
112
89
OptionVotes
138
73