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Top stories

U.S. Crude and Brent Oil Prices Fluctuate Amid Supply Drops, IEA Warnings, and U.S. Tariffs on Indian Products

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for IEA

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51%chance

322116747

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

984

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Apr 1, 3:41 PMApr 8, 9:59 PM

20.25%chance

323363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1750

691

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

41.43%chance

403185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

955

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM

62.64%chance

32803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1295

772

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

68.2%chance

231639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

690

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

52.02%chance

231487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

698

Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?

Jan 2, 10:00 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

18.43%chance

311179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

132

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

Dec 10, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.2%chance

181118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

18.03%chance

15922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1588

811

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

88.58%chance

17862

OptionVotes

NO

YES

279

36

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

Mar 11, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.8%chance

5252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

137

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

Mar 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67%chance

7161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

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