IG News

8 months ago

Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?

Feb 22, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.49%chance

8816876

OptionVotes

YES

1170

673

Will Disney be acquired by the end of Bob Iger's tenure as CEO?

Nov 23, 3:13 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

4.42%chance

373790

OptionVotes

YES

3469

726

Name new popular, positive terms for genetic technology use in oneself or one's offspring [2k subsidy]

Apr 4, 7:57 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

232962

OptionProbability

Genetic care

Intentional Genetic Selection (IGS)

Non-steroid Athletic Augmentation (NAA)

Humanity Enhancement

Heritage Optimization

Conscious Genetic Elections (CGE)

Deliberate Allele Choice (DAC)

Guided evolution

Conception freedom

Choose your own Geneventure (CyoG)

Directed Elective Variation (DEV)

Hereditary Crafting

Voluntary Trait Selection (VTS)

Voluntary eugenics (many people will still oppose it as if it was involuntary, but no amount of branding can win them over)

Alleartistry (Alleart)

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.28%chance

231399

OptionVotes

YES

1997

812

Will an AI get an Ig Nobel Prize before 2050?

Apr 9, 10:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.14%chance

241156

OptionVotes

YES

1156

880

Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Oct 28, 10:48 PMOct 30, 11:59 PM

10.64%chance

15766

OptionVotes

YES

290

Will the Galápagos Land Iguana (Conolophus subcristatus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 30, 11:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.94%chance

5331

OptionVotes

YES

717

296

Will the Santa Fe Land Iguana, aka Barrington Land Iguana (Conolophus pallidus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 30, 6:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.29%chance

3178

OptionVotes

YES

662

421

Will Igor M be legally present in the US on Jan 1 2027

Jan 3, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.68%chance

574

OptionVotes

YES

138

Will "Don’t ignore bad vibes you get from people" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 20, 4:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15%chance

329

OptionVotes

YES

101

Another manuscript with the Tale of Igor's Campaign found by 2075 EOY?

Oct 14, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.01%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

Will isaak Freeman, Jose ricon, or Alexey guzey win an ig nobel prize by 2059

Sep 8, 1:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.75%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

113

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Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?

Will Disney be acquired by the end of Bob Iger's tenure as CEO?

Name new popular, positive terms for genetic technology use in oneself or one's offspring [2k subsidy]

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Will an AI get an Ig Nobel Prize before 2050?

Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will the Galápagos Land Iguana (Conolophus subcristatus) become extinct in the current century?

Will the Santa Fe Land Iguana, aka Barrington Land Iguana (Conolophus pallidus) become extinct in the current century?

Will Igor M be legally present in the US on Jan 1 2027

Will "Don’t ignore bad vibes you get from people" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Another manuscript with the Tale of Igor's Campaign found by 2075 EOY?

Will isaak Freeman, Jose ricon, or Alexey guzey win an ig nobel prize by 2059

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