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Prediction markets for IG
Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?
Feb 22, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
43.74%chance
8415595
OptionVotes
1128
725
OptionProbability
100
99
91
88
82
80
77
77
76
74
73
71
67
63
61
59
59
52
52
52
50
50
50
48
44
43
41
41
39
27
Name new popular, positive terms for genetic technology use in oneself or one's offspring [2k subsidy]
Apr 4, 7:57 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
232646
OptionProbability
53
37
36
31
27
26
23
23
22
19
19
19
17
17
14
Will Disney be acquired by the end of Bob Iger's tenure as CEO?
Nov 23, 3:13 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
10.63%chance
341686
OptionVotes
1600
862
OptionVotes
1156
880
Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?
Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
11.97%chance
231149
OptionVotes
1747
843
OptionVotes
1578
634
Will the Galápagos Pink Land Iguana (Conolophus marthae) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 30, 9:31 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
84.23%chance
4384
OptionVotes
564
438
Will Ruja Ignatova be found (dead or alive) before 2027-10-25?
Oct 20, 8:13 PMOct 25, 9:59 PM
29.25%chance
6208
OptionVotes
278
117
Will the Santa Fe Land Iguana, aka Barrington Land Iguana (Conolophus pallidus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 30, 6:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.64%chance
3168
OptionVotes
652
423
What percentage of xAI does Igor Babuschkin own as of April 28, 2024?
Apr 28, 1:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2112
Will isaak Freeman, Jose ricon, or Alexey guzey win an ig nobel prize by 2059
Sep 8, 1:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
43.75%chance
316
OptionVotes
113
88