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Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?

Jan 27, 11:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.71%chance

10027958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3049

328

Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?

Apr 15, 4:48 PMJan 20, 5:29 PM

72%chance

26319520

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1604

624

Will Anthropic's first image generation capability be based on an in-house image model?

Feb 3, 5:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.23%chance

314651

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1376

279

Will Anthropic natively integrate image generation into Claude and/or Claude Code in 2026?

Feb 6, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.8%chance

284084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2225

449

Will AI replace radiologists as the main reporter of clinical images in the USA (without human oversight) before 2050?

Mar 5, 11:37 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

87.01%chance

302633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1707

820

Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?

Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.06%chance

82522

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12522

7986

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

26.41%chance

131634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1675

600

Will "Near-Instantly Aborting the Worst Pain Imagin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Feb 8, 6:53 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

73%chance

81232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1482

89

Before 2027, will OpenAI release a reasoning model that generates image tokens in its CoT?

Dec 13, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.23%chance

91167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1871

535

Will OpenAI or Google announce an release a reduction to image generation filters around nudity by EOY 2027?

Jun 10, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.6%chance

14990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

680

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.7%chance

14622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

406

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Jan 9, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28%chance

19558

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1073

697

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