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Prediction markets for In Line

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.05%chance

480364042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2865

2074

Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line

Jan 31, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.85%chance

4017997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

850

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.2%chance

836669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

677

Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with the rules of this market until the end of the year?

Jan 20, 2:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.38%chance

122013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2162

462

Will there be a high-speed rail line in Texas before 2030?

Jul 8, 8:33 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

14.29%chance

161665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1931

744

What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?

Jul 19, 12:40 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

61.78%chance

131284

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1002

983

Will a train line be in operation by Jan 1st 2040 that uses room-temperature superconductivity to levitate the train?

Aug 3, 6:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

17.69%chance

26986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

968

Will Dreamstar Lines begin revenue service in 2026?

Jun 7, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.48%chance

4710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

585

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.93%chance

15702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

838

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Oct 27, 3:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.43%chance

6662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1662

602

Will the YIMBY/NIMBY divide line up with political affiliation in the USA before 2027?

Feb 9, 7:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

28.91%chance

15221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

964

Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 23, 12:44 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

992

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