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Top stories

Arkham Says UAE Holds About $700 Million in Bitcoin Via Citadel Mining

Arkham Says UAE Holds About $700 Million in Bitcoin Via Citadel Mining

Authors

14

5 months ago

HYPE Token Surges Past $50 After $9 Million On-Chain Buy

HYPE Token Surges Past $50 After $9 Million On-Chain Buy

Authors

10

5 months ago

Prediction markets for in

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.95%chance

419811291334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30232

16191

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.7%chance

25582230589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10669

2104

Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM

17631926787

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Mark Kelly

J.B. Pritzker

Jon Ossoff

Gretchen Whitmer

Raphael Warnock

Andy Beshear

Wes Moore

Ro Khanna

Ruben Gallego

Michelle Obama

Amy Klobuchar

Cory Booker

Kathy Hochul

Mark Cuban

Jamie Raskin

Jon Stewart

None

John Fetterman

Hillary Clinton

Joe Biden

Jeff Jackson

Jared Polis

Mitch Landrieu

Roy Cooper

Dianne Feinstein

Jimmy Carter

Tim Walz

Chuck Schumer

Tim Kaine

Bernie Sanders

Tammy Duckworth

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Elizabeth Warren

Michael Bloomberg

Dwayne Johnson

[Duplicate - Invalid]

Hakeem Jeffries

Andrew Yang

Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

Dean Phillips

Bob Ferguson

Jay Inslee

Anthony Blinken

Susan Rice

Scott Wiener

Donald Trump

Sam Altman

Jeff Merkley

Merrick Garland

Taylor Swift

Tammy Baldwin

Katie Porter

Phil Murphy

Cenk Uygur

Joe Manchin

Sherrod Brown

Chris Murphy

Brian Schatz

John Bel Edwards

Clark Duke

Stacey Abrams

Nina Turner

john smith

Duplicate ignore

Gina Raimondo

Ron Desantis

Beto O'Rourke

Vermin Supreme

Hunter Biden

Invalid answer

John Jacob

Alex Jones

Bob Roberston the IV

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Stephen A Smith

27

17

9

6

6

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.27%chance

10001125410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11869

8835

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

5.25%chance

336882836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425192

23550

China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?

Nov 26, 6:18 AMJul 29, 10:59 PM

95.17%chance

101617471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

444414

22531

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.06%chance

407581288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14909

6716

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.87%chance

555495774

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3519

1108

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.47%chance

493409147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2991

2170

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM

46.05%chance

5520863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

52857

45934

Will the Seahawks beat the Patriots in the 2026 Superbowl?

Jan 26, 2:52 AMFeb 9, 4:00 AM

68.84%chance

7218260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

27386

23825

Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]

Jan 11, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.81%chance

92180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5107

4983

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