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Prediction markets for INA

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

Aug 21, 10:24 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

3.94%chance

7723825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

919

Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?

Apr 25, 11:37 PMJan 20, 6:00 PM

31.15%chance

7111035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1602

328

Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?

Feb 2, 3:07 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

77.48%chance

705106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1905

1060

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?

Sep 2, 9:08 PMJan 20, 4:59 PM

8.43%chance

93027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3297

303

Will in vitro fertilization become illegal or totally inaccessible in any state before 2030?

Feb 27, 5:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

501723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

848

Will X / Twitter become inaccessible in Europe during 2025?

Aug 12, 11:19 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

12.21%chance

191232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

37

If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?

Mar 10, 5:39 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

42.9%chance

261185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

852

Will ZeroPath be inactive by 2028 (excl. acquisition)?

Jul 15, 9:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.39%chance

18800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10042

9970

Will an inactive user get a home visit from a stranger asking them to deal with an abandoned question? [by 2030/12/31]

Aug 29, 7:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.84%chance

11567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

139

[Hololive English -Myth-] Which talent will leave Hololive last?

Jan 23, 10:00 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4475

OptionProbability

Takanashi Kiara

Ninomae Ina'nis

Mori Calliope

Watson Amelia

Gawr Gura

58

23

13

5

2

Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?

Jul 23, 6:14 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

47.03%chance

9327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

83

How many games will the Tasmania Devils win in their inaugural AFL season?

Feb 1, 10:07 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

40.38%chance

617

OptionProbability

YES

NO

252

248

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