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Prediction markets for INC

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

30.42%chance

2154258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16293

6948

Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?

Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

28%chance

725757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1909

367

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) stock reach $400 at any point before 2027?

May 22, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.93%chance

7246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

Apr 6, 1:23 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

3232

OptionProbability

YES

NO

101

88

When will the first company be officially registered under the EU Inc. framework (28th Regime)?

Dec 16, 10:17 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

3160

OptionProbability

Proposal rejected/not introduced in EU parliament by 2028

2026

2025

2027

2028

25

20

18

18

18

Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?

May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.47%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

1696

Will John Mars (part-owner of Mars Inc) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 22, 2:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.5%chance

2114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

35

Meta Platforms Inc. (META)

Apr 6, 1:17 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

367

OptionProbability

YES

NO

94

84

Will Alphabet Inc. (Google) or Microsoft or Apple will still exist by 2100

Sep 19, 3:10 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

238

OptionProbability

None still exist in 2100 (or shutdown company before 2100)

Alphabet Inc. (Google)

Microsoft Corporation

Apple Inc.

41

33

33

33

Will Jacqueline Mars (part-owner of Mars, Inc) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 26, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.09%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

100

51

If Donald Trump is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?

Mar 11, 11:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

220

OptionProbability

4-7.5

-10--6.5

-6.5--3

-3-0.5

0.5-4

7.5-11

11-14.5

14.5-18

18-21.5

21.5-25

49

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

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