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Prediction markets for INC

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

30.42%chance

2154258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16293

6948

Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?

Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

28%chance

725757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1909

367

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

United States of America v. Apple Inc. ⚖ Antitrust Case 2:24-cv-04055

Mar 21, 2:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

291582

OptionProbability

Apple

DOJ

52

48

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Apr 6, 1:18 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

7170

OptionProbability

NO

YES

123

67

Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?

May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.47%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

1696

Meta Platforms Inc. (META)

Apr 6, 1:17 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

367

OptionProbability

YES

NO

94

84

Will the creators of Emesis Blue release their second TF2 film 'Murder Inc' by the end of 2026?

Feb 19, 6:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.67%chance

467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

74

Salesforce, Inc. (CRM)

Apr 6, 1:23 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

358

OptionProbability

NO

YES

78

63

Exit valuation of Chow Central Inc (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

If Joe Biden is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?

Mar 11, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

333

OptionProbability

4-7.5

0.5-4

-10--6.5

-6.5--3

-3-0.5

7.5-11

11-14.5

14.5-18

18-21.5

21.5-25

44

10

7

7

7

7

7

5

5

5

If Donald Trump is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?

Mar 11, 11:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

220

OptionProbability

4-7.5

-10--6.5

-6.5--3

-3-0.5

0.5-4

7.5-11

11-14.5

14.5-18

18-21.5

21.5-25

49

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

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