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Income Tax News

Will Trump substantially replace income taxes with tariffs?

Jun 14, 2:54 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

1.37%chance

2013318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8688

120

Trump eliminates federal income tax in 2026?

Jan 25, 2:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.81%chance

169986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7362

136

Which state will be the first to have a statewide land value tax and no state income tax by 2030?

Oct 5, 3:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

312202

OptionProbability

No State

North Carolina

Utah

Virginia

Alaska

Colorado

Florida

Michigan

Nevada

New Hampshire

Pennsylvania

Texas

Washington

Wyoming

Alabama

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Connecticut

Delaware

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Dakota

Ohio

Oregon

Oklahoma

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Vermont

West Virginia

Wisconsin

77

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will there be a global wealth or income tax by 2035?

May 20, 9:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.85%chance

221525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1891

529

Will Trump abolish income tax and replace it with revenue from tariffs?

Nov 3, 3:47 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.13%chance

15871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

677

15

Will the US continue to use a Standard Deduction in determining income tax by end of 2030?

Jan 22, 4:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.6%chance

12361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1203

941

Will Microstrategy have to pay any federal income taxes on unrealised gains on its cryptocurrency holdings in 2026?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

17.24%chance

4148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

46

Will Brazilian Congress pass any income tax reform until the end of 2027?

Jul 29, 11:25 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

72.05%chance

8129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

85

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2026?

Jan 8, 6:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.42%chance

7124

OptionProbability

YES

NO

407

380

What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2023?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

79.18%chance

2101

OptionProbability

NO

YES

201

35

Will Trump administration eliminate federal income tax on gambling winnings?

Dec 12, 8:40 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

25%chance

583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2033?

Jan 8, 6:07 PMJan 15, 6:07 PM

39.43%chance

330

OptionProbability

YES

NO

316

306

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