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Income Tax News

Will Trump substantially replace income taxes with tariffs?

Jun 14, 2:54 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

1.34%chance

2013317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8761

119

Trump eliminates federal income tax in 2026?

Jan 25, 2:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.81%chance

169986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7362

136

Which state will be the first to have a statewide land value tax and no state income tax by 2030?

Oct 5, 3:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

312202

OptionProbability

No State

North Carolina

Utah

Virginia

Alaska

Colorado

Florida

Michigan

Nevada

New Hampshire

Pennsylvania

Texas

Washington

Wyoming

Alabama

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Connecticut

Delaware

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Dakota

Ohio

Oregon

Oklahoma

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Vermont

West Virginia

Wisconsin

77

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will there be a global wealth or income tax by 2035?

May 20, 9:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.77%chance

221475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1841

543

When will Trump abolish U.S. expat taxes on overseas income?

Mar 8, 7:05 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

8716

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2024

2025

50

13

13

11

7

7

At what income level will the marginal tax rate reach 37% in 2030?

Nov 8, 3:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4693

OptionProbability

Above $1,000,000

Above $800,000

Above $900,000

Above $500,000

Above $600,000

Above $700,000

Above $400,000

Above $300,000

Above $100,000

Above $200,000

Above $0

64

55

55

50

50

50

37

28

14

14

11

Will income tax be eliminated by 2040?

Jan 22, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.94%chance

15612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1429

938

Will the US continue to use a Standard Deduction in determining income tax by end of 2030?

Jan 22, 4:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.6%chance

12361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1203

941

Will Brazilian Congress pass any income tax reform until the end of 2027?

Jul 29, 11:25 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

72.05%chance

8129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

85

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2026?

Jan 8, 6:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.42%chance

7124

OptionProbability

YES

NO

407

380

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2033?

Jan 8, 6:07 PMJan 15, 6:07 PM

39.43%chance

330

OptionProbability

YES

NO

316

306

Top US income tax bracket in 2050

Apr 7, 3:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.33%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

68

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