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Prediction markets for Income Tax

Will Trump substantially replace income taxes with tariffs?

Jun 14, 2:54 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

1.32%chance

1913316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8644

116

Will the UK increase its top marginal tax rate on income in 2025?

Jan 20, 7:20 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2.66%chance

246775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6049

165

Will the UK increase the personal income tax rate before 2026?

Mar 30, 4:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3.08%chance

336703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5687

189

Will the UK Government offer >1000£ in tax incentives to people earning more than the UK median income to get health insurance before 2025?

Jan 2, 10:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.37%chance

134938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5042

746

Which state will be the first to have a statewide land value tax and no state income tax by 2030?

Oct 5, 3:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

311914

OptionProbability

No State

North Carolina

Utah

Nevada

Texas

Virginia

Alaska

Colorado

Florida

Michigan

New Hampshire

Pennsylvania

Washington

Wyoming

Alabama

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Connecticut

Delaware

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Dakota

Ohio

Oregon

Oklahoma

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Vermont

West Virginia

Wisconsin

72

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will there be a global wealth or income tax by 2035?

May 20, 9:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.58%chance

211472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1852

540

Will Trump abolish income tax and replace it with revenue from tariffs?

Nov 3, 3:47 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.13%chance

15871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

677

15

Will income tax be eliminated by 2040?

Jan 22, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.61%chance

13607

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1557

933

Will the US continue to use a Standard Deduction in determining income tax by end of 2030?

Jan 22, 4:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

87.33%chance

12295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1268

931

Will Microstrategy have to pay any federal income taxes on unrealised gains on its cryptocurrency holdings in 2026?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

15.38%chance

3145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Will Brazilian Congress pass any income tax reform until the end of 2027?

Jul 29, 11:25 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

72.05%chance

8129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

85

Top US income tax bracket in 2050

Apr 7, 3:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.33%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

68

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