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Top stories

‘Operation Raise the Colours’ Sparks Row Over St George’s Cross Displays

‘Operation Raise the Colours’ Sparks Row Over St George’s Cross Displays

Authors

10

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Independent

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM

10.04%chance

1723720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29965

3343

Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?

Jan 30, 9:55 PMJan 2, 12:59 PM

19.6%chance

9014761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2212

1939

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.58%chance

13613104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1406

711

Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?

Sep 4, 6:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.22%chance

644969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

735

Will pro-independence parties win a majority of seats at the 2026 Welsh election?

Feb 5, 7:02 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM

34.33%chance

102297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?

Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

53.46%chance

181320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1072

933

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?

Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.02%chance

18587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

734

Bougainville an independent country by 2028?

Apr 3, 7:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.71%chance

8539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

856

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Jul 8, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.45%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?

Jan 30, 1:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.85%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

902

Will the USA pass a content filtering law covering 3D-printed or other independently manufactured guns?

Jan 22, 2:53 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

47.51%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

951

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