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Prediction markets for Index

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

48%chance

4531094477

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11267

7882

QQQ Index falls below $350 at any point in 2025

Dec 10, 5:52 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

1.71%chance

2288195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

77082

1387

@bens Shame Index (BSI)

Oct 7, 4:03 AMNov 20, 5:46 PM

2811347

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2527

2310

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in Nov. 2025 than it was in Nov. 2024

Jan 22, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.43%chance

128234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15509

5886

@Bayesian Shame Index (BNSI)

Oct 24, 1:05 AM

136386

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4537

2858

Will the validity of the Consumer Price Index as a measure of inflation be widely questioned during 2025? #Economics

Jan 22, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.15%chance

734985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1530

697

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

Nov 26, 6:05 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

40.83%chance

32393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12039

8306

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

56.37%chance

41397

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11367

8797

👍👎 Trump Approval Rating [Market Index]

Feb 16, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.11%chance

111307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

672

Drama Index Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 3:06 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

10872

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1268

1220

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10122

9934

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

242

126

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