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Prediction markets for Index

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

56.31%chance

440954278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12844

6434

QQQ Index falls below $350 at any point in 2025

Dec 10, 5:52 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

24%chance

911048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17652

5767

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in Nov. 2025 than it was in Nov. 2024

Jan 22, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.88%chance

86079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13368

7042

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

38.22%chance

314818

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

787

Will the validity of the Consumer Price Index as a measure of inflation be widely questioned during 2025? #Economics

Jan 22, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61%chance

593314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1276

832

👍👎 Trump Approval Rating [Market Index]

Feb 16, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.02%chance

101204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1491

671

Drama Index Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 3:06 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

10872

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1268

1220

Will the US Industrial Production index in December 2025 be higher than in September 2018?

Aug 1, 6:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.88%chance

5454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

814

👍👎 is usa cooked [market index]

Feb 20, 4:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.26%chance

5445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1341

746

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10122

9934

Will the UAE be in the top 10 countries in Human Development Index (HDI) in 2031?

Jul 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.07%chance

3350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1227

815

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

242

126

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