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Prediction markets for Industrial

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.06%chance

3216664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1304

768

[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?

Jan 7, 12:00 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM

1515734

OptionProbability

1.40 - 1.50°C

1.50 - 1.60°C

1.30 - 1.40°C

1.20 - 1.30°C

1.60 - 1.70°C

Below 1.2°C

1.70 - 1.75°C

Above 1.75°C

48

41

4

2

2

1

1

1

Will Hindalco Industries's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 1.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

73.44%chance

66848

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16628

6014

When will Anduril Industries IPO?

May 29, 11:56 AMDec 31, 12:55 PM

216492

OptionProbability

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

2028 or later

Q1 2027

Q4 2027

Anduril will not IPO

Q4 2026

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

24

20

20

10

10

7

5

1

1

1

1

1

Will Hindalco Industries's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 1.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

37.86%chance

64494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12811

7806

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Oct 16, 9:55 PMOct 17, 6:59 AM

68.66%chance

463844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

676

Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?

Mar 31, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

66.98%chance

232163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

982

855

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Feb 27, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.08%chance

371631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

842

Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?

Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM

77.43%chance

51540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3308

1022

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

251344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

905

Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?

Apr 8, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78%chance

16943

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1382

859

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

981

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