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Prediction markets for Industry and Trade

Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?

Jan 13, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

15.68%chance

7147255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22945

4656

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

May 12, 9:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1038418

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Russia

Kharkiv uninhabitable (because of nuclear strike for example) on Dec 31, 2030

70

39

2

What proportion new car/suv/light truck sales will be hydrogen powered in 2030?

Mar 16, 10:57 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4.07%chance

212895

OptionProbability

YES

NO

3211

695

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2025?

Apr 8, 8:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

271840

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Russia

93

11

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

How will the data shortage for LLM gets solved

Nov 25, 12:39 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24738

OptionProbability

Multimodal Data

Synthetic Data

88

55

Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?

Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM

63.02%chance

5540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2308

1435

Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 6, 5:38 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

89.22%chance

15478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

984

887

Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?

May 29, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.45%chance

4240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

374

132

LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.

Oct 1, 3:11 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

44%chance

12171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

993

Will The Dow Close above 45,000 on December 31st, 2025?

Feb 6, 6:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.53%chance

12130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Morning in Trump's America: Which industry sectors will have job growth in 2025?

Dec 30, 7:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

535

OptionProbability

Financial Activities

Manufacturing

Mining and Logging

Trade, Transportation, and Utilities

Information

Professional and Business Services

Private Education and Health Services

Leisure and Hospitality

Construction

Government

80

69

50

50

50

50

50

50

31

20

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