OptionProbability
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem
[UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories
[Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026
[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
[Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)
[Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC
[Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories
[Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages
[Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
[Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
[Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
[Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
[Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours
[Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France
[Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC
[Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage
[NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
[UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race
[Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race
[Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)
[UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments
[NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo
100
100
100
74
73
73
70
66
65
45
45
41
34
33
32
31
31
29
29
24
24
24
23
20
18
18
16
15
15
14
12
12
10
9
8
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
