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Prediction markets for Infini

Are there infinitely many twin primes?

Feb 7, 5:33 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

95.1%chance

311561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2132

860

Is the universe infinite in extent?

Jan 17, 10:08 PMFeb 5, 10:59 PM

52.51%chance

351556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

567

Will anyone create an infinite slide before 2030?

Sep 23, 3:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.67%chance

391380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

824

Are there infinitely many composite Fermat numbers?

Oct 28, 3:16 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

98.43%chance

31218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

510

24

Are there infinitely many sexy primes?

Feb 9, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

93.93%chance

23966

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1587

914

Are there infinitely many primes of the form n^2 + 1?

Feb 7, 5:37 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

92.1%chance

12608

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1333

938

Will the Infinite Jest Reading Group finish the book by EoY 2025?

Mar 28, 1:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.19%chance

8462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

57

Are there infinitely many perfect numbers?

Feb 7, 5:38 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

88.68%chance

11392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1233

941

Are there infinitely many Mersenne primes?

Oct 28, 2:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.54%chance

7379

OptionVotes

NO

YES

347

63

When will a video game exist with a practically infinite world (like Minecraft) that looks as nice as the BOTW world?

May 31, 3:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.75%chance

7105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

87

Will we know if there is an infinite cluster for critical bond percolation on the 3D integer lattice by 2035?

May 27, 1:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.96%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

961

How will a blank-slate AI first prove the infinitude of primes?

Nov 10, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

746

OptionProbability

Euclid's Proof

Saidak's proof by construction

Erdős's Proof

Furstenburg's Topological Proof

Euler's Proof

Proof via inclusion–exclusion

Proof using de Polignac's formula

The incompressibility method / Information-theoretic

42

40

5

4

2

2

2

2

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