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Prediction markets for Information Finance
Prediction markets for Information Finance
Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?
Jul 9, 9:59 PM
Jan 1, 5:51 PM
47.51%
chance
24
1609
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1051
951
Will CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?
Jan 20, 3:03 PM
Jan 15, 4:00 PM
40.47%
chance
2
74
Option
Votes
YES
NO
121
82
Will I find a job in Milan by March 31, 2026?
Dec 27, 7:28 PM
Mar 31, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
1
22
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?
Jan 20, 10:15 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
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