Information Security News
Prediction markets for Information Security
If @Aella and I go on a "proper date", we will marry, have offspring, and control the world with intellectual force.
Feb 21, 2:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
22.96%chance
5334071
OptionVotes
1832
546
OptionVotes
1453
934
OptionVotes
2000
500
OptionVotes
2472
405
Iran’s 60%+ enriched uranium stockpile and its capability to produce more both eliminated by June 2025 strikes?
Jun 22, 11:06 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM
8%chance
91938
OptionVotes
2500
62
Which of these career paths will 80,000 Hours list as the highest-impact they've identified at the end of 2025?
Aug 24, 1:20 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
191459
OptionProbability
99
91
89
83
80
80
80
78
71
71
71
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
Sep 29, 3:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
42.61%chance
251075
OptionVotes
1058
894
Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?
Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32925
OptionProbability
57
43
Zohran Mamdani wins NYC Mayoral general election mandate (50%)?
Jul 12, 2:59 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
49.73%chance
15850
OptionVotes
1005
995
Will the US implement information security requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?
Apr 28, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
87.9%chance
4171
OptionVotes
270
87
Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028
Apr 28, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
43.47%chance
5105
OptionVotes
145
115
Will the number of people employed as Information Security Analysts in US decrease by more than 15% from 2024 til 2044?
Aug 9, 4:29 PMAug 16, 9:59 PM
28.04%chance
470
OptionVotes
160
62