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Prediction markets for Infowars

Will Elon Musk purchase Infowars by the end of 2025?

Sep 25, 2:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.36%chance

8862232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

36824

7424

Will Alex Jones start a new media venture within 2 years of Infowars being shut down?

Jun 29, 5:51 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

98.67%chance

119004

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8622

116

Will any large company leave California because of SB-1047? (2025)

Jun 12, 4:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

186794

OptionProbability

Nothing will happen

Move model training or inference elsewhere

Completely leave

Move employees elsewhere

98

1

0

0

Will any large company leave California because of AI regulations? (2025)

Jun 12, 5:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

173619

OptionProbability

Nothing will happen

Completely leave

Move employees elsewhere

Move model training or inference elsewhere

95

2

2

2

Will any large company leave the United States because of AI regulations? (2025)

Jun 12, 5:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

163356

OptionProbability

Nothing will happen

Move model training or inference elsewhere

Move employees elsewhere

Completely leave

90

4

3

2

Alex Jones stock (Permanent)

Dec 9, 8:13 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

282904

OptionProbability

NO

YES

572

520

Will the Onion buy InfoWars?

Nov 15, 9:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.53%chance

262052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

350

29

Will Scott Alexander be accused of a felony in a mainstream news outlet before 2030?

Nov 21, 3:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

4.97%chance

12871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

944

Will any currently well-known conservative figure publicly defend Hitler in 2025?

Mar 7, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.21%chance

7298

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

64

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