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Infrastructure News

Looking for Growth UK's National Priority Infrastructure Bill becomes law by December 31st 2025

Jan 18, 3:37 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

1.97%chance

56491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7051

142

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 10, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

262355

OptionProbability

Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

Yamal-Europe Pipeline

Guri Dam (Venezuela)

Suez Canal (Egypt)

Eiffel Tower (France)

Xiluodu Dam (China)

Baihetan Dam (China)

Three Gorges Dam (China)

World Trade Center (New York, US)

Vatican City

Panama Canal (Panama)

Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

The Louvre (France)

Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

Hoover Dam (United States)

99

34

33

18

11

10

10

10

10

10

9

9

8

7

5

3

3

Drone attack on Taiwan's critical infrastructure before December 31, 2025

Jun 17, 8:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.47%chance

252216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2778

360

AI "devops" #2: Will there be an AI that can help manage cloud infrastructure by 2030?

May 4, 9:06 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.28%chance

101893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

975

Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027?

Sep 13, 11:40 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.36%chance

261221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

984

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

Mar 22, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.79%chance

141197

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1891

832

Will humans have developed the infrastructure to extract rare elements from sources outside of Earth by the year 2200?

Jan 25, 2:24 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

92.23%chance

231069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1462

914

Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?

May 25, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.91%chance

12550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3605

3380

Infrastructure hacking linked to TETRA vulnerability leads to loss of life (before 2026)

Jan 7, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.51%chance

6326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

253

42

[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

May 18, 4:42 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

49.52%chance

2204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

Will Canada leave the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank before 2026?

Jun 15, 6:39 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

16.01%chance

8176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

49

Will any country leave the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank before 2026?

Jun 15, 6:40 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.48%chance

26

OptionVotes

YES

NO

74

66

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