Infrastructure fund News

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

22.28%chance

569159

OptionVotes

YES

7326

4245

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.73%chance

225161

OptionVotes

YES

2052

747

What will the valuation of OpenAI at IPO be?

Feb 28, 8:12 AMMar 7, 10:59 PM

113835

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

Dec 27, 8:16 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

13.91%chance

283077

OptionVotes

YES

2488

402

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

YES

1928

630

How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse?

Jun 1, 3:04 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

191491

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

11879

OptionProbability

Space Exploration

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Geopolitics

Environment and sustainability

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Society

Art and culture

Human Rights

Economy

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.57%chance

2135

OptionVotes

YES

1115

897

Tesla's charging network - what will the interoperability status be at the end of 2025?

Feb 8, 3:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

683

OptionProbability

Open to the above plus at least Hyundai

Open to Tesla, Ford, GM, Rivian, Volvo, Mercedes, Polestar

Open long enough to kneecap EvGo, Electrify America, etc and then closed again.

Other

Will the US Government create a public-private partnership with OpenAI by 2028?

May 24, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.4%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

114

When will the Rio Grande Plan be completed?

Apr 24, 4:26 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

120

Infrastructure fund News

Prediction markets for Infrastructure fund

Prediction markets for Infrastructure fund

Prediction markets for Infrastructure fund

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

What will the valuation of OpenAI at IPO be?

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse?

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Tesla's charging network - what will the interoperability status be at the end of 2025?

Will the US Government create a public-private partnership with OpenAI by 2028?

When will the Rio Grande Plan be completed?

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